StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Geopolitics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 4¢ (4% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket4%$38K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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