StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket8%$471K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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