StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Geopolitics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket8%$271K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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