Polymarket is pricing this contract at 52¢ (52% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 52¢ | 52% | $1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, prisoner exchange, or further engagement. A meeting qualifies regardless of its subject matter, including meetings limited to humanitarian issues (e.g., prisoner exchanges, the return of civilians or children, or humanitarian pauses), whether or not broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar, are discussed. Representatives include officials mandated by their government or parliament to negotiate such humanitarian matters on its behalf, including Ukraine's Parliamentary Commissioner for Human Rights and Russia's High Commission