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Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?

Politics Resolves June 7, 2027 210 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, while Polymarket has it at 13¢. That's a 6.9¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves June 7, 2027 (~210 days). Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

The two prediction markets disagree by 6.9¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi6¢6%$225
Polymarket13¢13%—

Resolution criteria

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively b

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