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Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election?

Politics Resolves June 7, 2027 210 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 16¢, while Polymarket has it at 11¢. That's a 9.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves June 7, 2027 (~210 days). Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

The two prediction markets disagree by 9.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi16¢16%$311
Polymarket11¢11%—

Resolution criteria

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known defini

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