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Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?

Politics Resolves February 7, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 57¢ (57% implied probability). Resolves February 7, 2027. Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket57¢57%$9K

Resolution criteria

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this

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