StreetSpread · Technology · Polymarket

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

Technology Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 72¢ (72% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Wonder model (1.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket72¢72%$4K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Wonder model (1.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Wonder" and be designated as version 1.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.1 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Wonder (muse-wonder-1.0) or Muse Wonder Full (muse-wonder-full-1.0) would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Wonder 2, while models whose name does not include "Wonder," such as Muse Spark or Muse Glimmer models, or which retain a version designation of 1.0 or below, such as Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full (both released October 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of either, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The rel

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