Polymarket is pricing this contract at 73¢ (73% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. On November 9, 2026, OfficeChai reported that Google was internally testing a Gemini 4 checkpoint codenamed "Krypton," described by testers as an upgrade on Gemini 4 Carbon (https://officechai.com/ai/gemini-4-krypton/).
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 73¢ | 73% | $231 |
On November 9, 2026, OfficeChai reported that Google was internally testing a Gemini 4 checkpoint codenamed "Krypton," described by testers as an upgrade on Gemini 4 Carbon (https://officechai.com/ai/gemini-4-krypton/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases "Krypton" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be a Google AI model named "Krypton" (including variants or successor branding such as Gemini Krypton, Gemini 4 Krypton, or similar naming) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report by Google or by a consensus of credible reporting. A model released under any other name, including a new Gemini model (e.g., Gemini 4.1) or an update to Gemini 4 Carbon (including an update released under Carbon's existing name or model identifier), will qualify only if it is confirmed by the listed date to be the same model previously codenamed "Krypton". Models merely derived from, distilled from, or incorpor