StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 14¢ (14% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket14¢14%$30K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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