StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Lecornu out as French PM by July 31, 2026?

Politics Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket1%$681

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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