Polymarket is pricing this contract at 5¢ (5% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5¢ | 5% | $20K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.