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Will NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?
Politics
Closes January 5, 2027
Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 21¢ for YES on this contract (21% implied). Closes January 5, 2027 (~58 days).
Live price
Side Cents Implied Volume Kalshi (yes ask) 21¢ 21% $21K Kalshi (yes bid) 14¢ 14% —
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Related markets Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2? Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.90 by Dec 31, 2026? Will the difference between the number of Yes votes for Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for Proposition 40 be above 0 votes in the November 3, 2026 California general election? Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 120 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?