StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Politics Closes January 5, 2027 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 81¢ for YES on this contract (81% implied). Closes January 5, 2027 (~174 days). Above 40

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)81¢81%$1K
Kalshi (yes bid)76¢76%—
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