StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Politics Closes January 5, 2027 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 3¢ for YES on this contract (3% implied). Closes January 5, 2027 (~58 days). Above 90

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)3¢3%$20K
Kalshi (yes bid)2¢2%—
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