StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Politics Closes January 5, 2027 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 31¢ for YES on this contract (31% implied). Closes January 5, 2027 (~178 days).

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)31¢31%$3K
Kalshi (yes bid)26¢26%—
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