StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $4.50 by the end of 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 20¢ (20% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the US national average price of

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket20¢20%$3K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the US national average price of regular gasoline reaches $4.50 or more on any date through the end of 2026. Options beginning "Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party to win control of both chambers. Options beginning "No Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party not to win control of at least one of the two chambers. Each option then names the result of the second component ("Gas hits $4.50" or "No $4.50 gas"), as defined below. The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No". Gas price: This component is "Gas hits $4.50" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above $4.50 for any date from market creation through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it is "No $4.50 gas". This component resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA

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