Polymarket is pricing this contract at 61¢ (61% implied probability). Resolves November 8, 2028. This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the Democratic Party’s candidate
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 61¢ | 61% | $8K |
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the Democratic Party’s candidate wins the 2028 United States presidential election. Options beginning "Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party to win control of both chambers. Options beginning "No Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party not to win control of at least one of the two chambers. Each option then names the result of the second component ("Dem wins 2028" or "Dem loses 2028"), as defined below. The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No". 2028 presidential election: This component is "Dem wins 2028" if the candidate of the Democratic Party is elected President of the United States in the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2028. Otherwise, it is "Dem loses 2028". This component will be determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the