StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 18¢ (18% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket18¢18%$204K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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