StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 11¢ (11% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket11¢11%$8K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

Trade on Polymarket →
Don't just watch the number
Get the app →Live on the App Store — every venue priced side by side, in your pocket.
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices refresh about every two minutes. Back to live tracker · Get the app.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn