Polymarket is pricing this contract at 16¢ (16% implied probability). Resolves April 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will retire from politics by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 16¢ | 16% | $4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will retire from politics by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, retiring from politics means permanently leaving all political office, including his seat in the Knesset, the office of Prime Minister, any ministerial post, and the leadership of Likud. A qualifying announcement must state that he is retiring from politics or from political life, or that he will leave all of these positions and will not seek political office again. An announcement that he will step down from, or not seek, one or more of these positions while continuing to hold or seek another will not qualify (e.g., resigning as Prime Minister or as leader of Likud while remaining a Member of Knesset). An announcement will also not qualify if, as part of the same announcement, he states that he will seek or accept another political office, including the presidency of Israel. The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Netanyahu will count for a "Yes" resolution, rega