StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 27¢ (27% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket27¢27%$98K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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