StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 3¢ (3% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket3¢3%$115K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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