StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?

Politics Resolves July 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 68¢ (68% implied probability). Resolves July 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket68¢68%$3K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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