Polymarket is pricing this contract at 10¢ (10% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Taiz Governorate, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 10¢ | 10% | $8K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Taiz Governorate, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. "Taiz Governorate" refers to the entirety of Taiz Governorate, Yemen, as defined by its official administrative boundaries. "Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Taiz Governorate, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of ac