StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?

Politics Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 0¢ (0% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket0%$1K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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