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Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics Resolves April 19, 2027 161 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, while Polymarket has it at 7¢. That's a 1.4¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves April 19, 2027 (~161 days). The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi6¢6%$106K
Polymarket7¢7%$2.8M

Resolution criteria

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via

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