StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics Resolves April 18, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 84¢ (84% implied probability). Resolves April 18, 2027. A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket84¢84%$46K

Resolution criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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