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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an amendment to USMCA enters into force under Article 34.3 before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics
Closes January 1, 2027
Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 9¢ for YES on this contract (9% implied). Closes January 1, 2027 (~54 days).
Live price
Side Cents Implied Volume Kalshi (yes ask) 9¢ 9% $2K Kalshi (yes bid) 3¢ 3% —
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Related markets Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada provides the United States and Mexico written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States provides Canada and Mexico written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada each provide the written head-of-government confirmation required by Article 34.7 to extend USMCA for another 16-year term before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Department of Justice opens a formal investigation into alleged professional misconduct by Watergate prosecutors before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?