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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics
Closes January 1, 2027
Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 2¢ for YES on this contract (2% implied). Closes January 1, 2027 (~54 days).
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Side Cents Implied Volume Kalshi (yes ask) 2¢ 2% $146K Kalshi (yes bid) 1¢ 1% —
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Related markets Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a federal judge holds the Trump administration, a federal agency or a federal official in contempt of court in the litigation over the East Potomac golf course before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the federal government withdraws CBP officers from a U.S. international airport in response to sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada each provide the written head-of-government confirmation required by Article 34.7 to extend USMCA for another 16-year term before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027? Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?