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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics
Closes January 1, 2027
Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 22¢ for YES on this contract (22% implied). Closes January 1, 2027 (~54 days).
Live price
Side Cents Implied Volume Kalshi (yes ask) 22¢ 22% $7K Kalshi (yes bid) 18¢ 18% —
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Related markets Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2028? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2029? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada each provide the written head-of-government confirmation required by Article 34.7 to extend USMCA for another 16-year term before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Department of Justice opens a formal investigation into alleged professional misconduct by Watergate prosecutors before Jan 1, 2027?