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Will the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics
Closes January 1, 2027
Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 56¢ for YES on this contract (56% implied). Closes January 1, 2027 (~54 days).
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Side Cents Implied Volume Kalshi (yes ask) 56¢ 56% $27K Kalshi (yes bid) 54¢ 54% —
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Related markets Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027? Will Department of Transportation (USDOT) announce a final rule redesignating Georgia from the Eastern time zone to the Atlantic time zone (or any other time zone which has the effect of permanent DST) before Jan 1, 2028? Will the U.S. Department of Education announce a decision by the senior Department official to terminate, suspend, limit, or deny renewal of the recognition of the American Bar Association's Council of the Section of Legal Education and Admissions to the Bar as an accrediting agency for law schools before Jan 1, 2027? Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027? Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027? Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?