StreetSpread · Technology · Polymarket

Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in November 2026?

Technology Resolves December 1, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 98¢ (98% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket98¢98%$392

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

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