StreetSpread · Technology · Polymarket

Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?

Technology Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket1%$4K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

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