Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

Politics Resolves December 5, 2026 27 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 18¢, while Polymarket has it at 25¢. That's a 5.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves December 5, 2026 (~27 days). Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026.

The two prediction markets disagree by 5.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

Platform	Cents	Implied	Volume
Kalshi	18¢	18%	$8K
Polymarket	25¢	25%	$52

Resolution criteria

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by

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