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Who will win the next Argentine presidential election?

Politics Resolves October 25, 2027 351 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 11¢, while Polymarket has it at 16¢. That's a 3.6¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves October 25, 2027 (~351 days). A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

The two prediction markets disagree by 3.6¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi11¢11%$13K
Polymarket16¢16%$145

Resolution criteria

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31

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