Polymarket is pricing this contract at 54¢ (54% implied probability). Resolves November 8, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, the party that wins control of the United States Senate, and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2028 United States general election.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 54¢ | 54% | $4K |
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, the party that wins control of the United States Senate, and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2028 United States general election. The party that wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is the party whose candidate is elected as President of the United States in that election. The winner of the presidential election will be determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date, the winner of the presidential election will be the person who is inaugurated. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and wins the Vice Presidency in the 2028 United States Presidential Election. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the