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Will Axel Kicillof win the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Politics Resolves September 1, 2027 296 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 60¢, while Polymarket has it at 53¢. That's a 7.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves September 1, 2027 (~296 days). Argentina's next presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 24, 2027.

The two prediction markets disagree by 7.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi60¢60%$811
Polymarket53¢53%$198

Resolution criteria

Argentina's next presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the individual who becomes the presidential candidate of the main Peronist electoral coalition for the 2027 Argentine presidential election. For the purposes of this market,

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