StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will François Asselineau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics Resolves July 1, 2027 234 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 17¢, while Polymarket has it at 27¢. That's a 7.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves July 1, 2027 (~234 days). The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

The two prediction markets disagree by 7.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi17¢17%$338
Polymarket27¢27%$2K

Resolution criteria

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes”

View live in StreetSpread →
Don't just watch the number
Get the app →Live on the App Store — every venue priced side by side, in your pocket.
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices refresh about every two minutes. Back to live tracker · Get the app.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn