Polymarket is pricing this contract at 36¢ (36% implied probability). Resolves July 20, 2026. This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 36¢ | 36% | $7K |
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.