StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket1¢1%$1.1M

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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