Polymarket is pricing this contract at 32¢ (32% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 32¢ | 32% | $77 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.