StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 42¢ (42% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket42¢42%$5K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

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