StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 20¢ (20% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket20¢20%$14K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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