StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket8%$219

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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