StreetSpread · Crypto · Polymarket

Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Crypto Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 60¢ (60% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket60¢60%$1K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart. The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

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