StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 95¢ (95% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket95¢95%$225K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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