StreetSpread · Sports · Polymarket

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports Resolves July 20, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 68¢ (68% implied probability). Resolves July 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the participating player whose nation advances to the latest stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket68¢68%$22K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the participating player whose nation advances to the latest stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is

Trade on Polymarket →
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices update every ~30 seconds via WebSocket. Back to live tracker · Join the app waitlist.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn