StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Politics Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 34¢ (34% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket34¢34%$145K

Resolution criteria

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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