StreetSpread · Geopolitics · Polymarket

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?

Geopolitics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 4¢ (4% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket4¢4%$14K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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