StreetSpread · Finance · Polymarket

Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?

Finance Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 3¢ (3% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket3%$380

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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