Polymarket is pricing this contract at 13¢ (13% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 13¢ | 13% | $239K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.